The 2015 Canning by-election was held for the Australian House of Representatives on Saturday 19 September from 8 am to 6 pm WST. Voters born overseas tend to be from the UK, South Africa and New Zealand. Area 4,245 sq km Location description The Division of Canning consists of: Mandurah City Council, MacTiernan's candidacy resulted in a 2.2% swing to Labor at the election, the only WA seat to swing to Labor in 2010, but Randall was easily re-elected. The current margin seems very inflated and Canning has a history of very strong swings in both directions. THERE are a dozen candidates in the Canning by-election on September 19. Who are they and what are the issues they are standing for? Also, unemployment is certainly becoming a problem in Armadale. It was originally a country seat that traded hands between the two main centre-right parties, the Liberal and Country parties. Randall held Canning for over a decade, winning re-election in 2004, 2007, 2010 and 2013. So, the sentiment might be that were strong trading partners with China and need to do what we can to strengthen the relationship. Federal election 2022 candidates for the Canning electorate. Jamie Van Burgel, Vimal Kumar Sharma and Greg Smith. Hastie was re-elected in 2016 and 2019. Clarke grew up in the great southern before moving to the central wheatbelt where his family worked in agriculture. But now that WAs boom is over, what about labourers? A property valuer who previously contested the seat at the 2010 federal election and was the Australian Christians lead candidate for the Senate in 2013. We're on the eve of the Canning byelection and the nation's interest has turned from viewing Saturday as a poll on Tony Abbott to being a test of both new Prime Minister . Mandurah has a significant retiree population who dont tend to be all that volatile in their voting behaviour. Hamilton retired in 1961 and the seat was won by Liberal Neil McNeill, who was defeated by the Country Partys John Hallett in 1963. ), Labor's support in Canning has followed the downward trend of Labor's vote state-wide, dropping below the state vote since the inclusion of Halls Head and more rural areas in 2001, and Mandurah and further rural areas since 2010. the two-candidate-preferred results showing the percentages received for this election, the corresponding percentages received for the last election, and swing. MacTiernan contested and won Perth at the 2013 Federal election, while Don Randall had another swing in his favour in Canning. Pinter, did not return a Morning Journal election questionnaire. cheers wd. He entered the workforce at age 15, back initially working for the curator of the biggest car museums in the state, then finding work in the horticultural industry. du Plessis is a Nurse Practitioner and works in General Practice and a variety of aged care facilities. If Liberal candidate Andrew Hastie gets 47% of the primary vote, hes going to win by about 55-45. History Canning was first created for the expansion of the House of Representatives in 1949. It is named after Alfred Canning, who is also the division's namesake The division was created in 1949 and is named for Alfred Canning, [1] the Western Australian government surveyor who surveyed the Canning Stock Route. The Division of Canning stretches from Byford and Carmel in the north to Wagerup in the south, and is largely based around the Peel region of Western Australia to the south of Perth. As a veterinarian for 36 years, Judith Congrene said her passions have expanded beyond animals to push for changes to support small business and to uphold human rights. The remainder of the seat was split into north and south, with Serptentine-Jarrahdale, Armadale and Kalamunda council areas in the north, and Murray and Waroona council areas in the south. Enhancing safe walking and biking paths to and from the schools and popular destinations for students. Natalie Mast is the Chair of the Editorial Board of The Conversation. The ALPs Wendy Fatin won the seat in 1983 at the same time as the election of the Hawke government. There are 11 people vying for the Canning seat. Assistant Defence Minister Andrew Hastie currently holds the seat with a comfortable margin of 11.6 per cent but newcomer Amanda Hunt is hoping to win the seat in what would be a huge upset for the Liberals. 2015 Canning by-election The 2015 Canning by-election was held for the Australian House of Representatives on Saturday 19 September from 8 am to 6 pm WST. A: I dont think that media attention on Hastie and his time in Afghanistan was ever going to hurt him certainly not without any evidence that he was involved with the controversies that happened there. Theres a critical mass of people wanting to take a swing at the Liberal Party, either at the federal or state level. ( Map) Background First created in 1949, this electorate is named Alfred Canning, who pioneered stock routes and rabbit proof fencing in Western Australia. 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She said she wanted to be there for the people of Canning - hoping to bring more tourism to the area and get money back into the region. Committee Member - MNF Research Advisory Committee, PhD Scholarship - Uncle Isaac Brown Indigenous Scholarship, Associate Lecturer, Creative Writing and Literature. Reach the author at rpayerchin@MorningJournal.com or follow Richard on Twitter: @MJ_JournalRick. I thought there will be more Red around Byford (mortgage belt) and Mandurah north of the estuary. These boundary changes took place at the 2022 election. Labor endorsed a high profile candidate for the 2010 election in Alannah MacTiernan, the former state MP for Armidale and Minister for Planning and Infrastructure through two terms of state Labor government. Demographically wise, what seat or area would Canning be similar to on the east coast? document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. But interestingly he also mentioned the seat of Canning. From what I can see Labor hasnt named a candidate for the seat yet. There have been some minor changes to the boundary with Burt north of Armadale and rural Boddington Shire has been transferred to O'Connor. Candidate profile: Tara Tatman for Avon School Board, November 2021 It should be a bell-weather seat It is interesting that the margin is 11.6% based on the redistribution so should be an impossible, but I note in the last election there were a number of Andrew Hastie signs scattered throughout the region so maybe it is a seat with an over inflated margin. New Mandurah Basketball Association board, president look towards 'bright future', Cultural ceremony marks Collar Group office opening | Photos, List reveals Busselton aquatic facilities have fallen behind rest of regional WA, Mindful Earth owner vows to push forward with communal living vision, Leap of faith proves a perfect fit for local fashion label | Meet the Local, Terms and Conditions - Digital Subscription, Terms and Conditions - Newspaper Subscription. Related Articles Abbott's opponents didn't wait for the by-election, with the coup that installed Malcolm Turnbull as Prime Minister coming in the final week of the by-election campaign. Yoh An Yes. First created in 1949, this electorate is named Alfred Canning, who pioneered stock routes and rabbit proof fencing in Western Australia. Address the learning gap created by disruption of the novel coronavirus pandemic in the 2020/2021 school year. For Labor candidate Matt Keogh, I think Julie Bishops jibe that hes a hipster lawyer might bite a little. Have your say in our comments below, Andrew Hastie is standing for the Liberal Party. Pursuit of Global Equality, Respect, Environmental Stability, Honesty thru Reflective, Ethical Contemplation and Consultation Her latest role was as the Uniting Church chief executive. You have entered an incorrect email address! Hastie served on was later Chair of the Joint Statutory Committee on Intelligence and Security. Since 2012 she has served as the CEO of the Peel Development Commission and Chair of the Peel Workforce Development Alliance. Q: How large a swing will Labor need to attain to worry Tony Abbotts leadership and possibly trigger a cabinet reshuffle? According to WDs logic everyone will be pm. Expect all the WA seats to have a larger than average swing to Labor the question is how large. Liberal MP Andrew Hastie, who has held onto the seat for close to seven years, lives in Mandurah with his wife Ruth and three children Jonathan, Beatrice, and Jemimah. Josie's aged care home told her it was about to close, just three weeks after letting her move in, Prime minister denies changes to super accounts over $3m represent broken promise, 'Entirely reasonable' to spend money from super tax changes on expanding parental leave, crossbenchers say, Legal action launched against Queensland mine operator after allegations of fake coal quality reports, Calls for minister to resign over racing boss exit explanation, Queensland Health paid $18m in special leave to workers who did not comply with COVID vaccine mandates, Andrew Hastie former SAS captain holds seat. The seat of Canning was named after WA's first Indigenous Australian nurse and matron and Alfred Canning who surveyed routes for the rabbit-proof fence from Starvation Harbour to Cape Keraudren and stock routes to bring cattle from the Kimberley to feed workers in the Goldfields. Likely LNP retain but Canning could be a smoky if state election allegiances carry over more to the federal election than most expect. It was the only Western Australian seat to record a swing to Labor at the election. These sorts of labour market issues can play out quite differently here, where the economy is about resources and there isnt so much manufacturing. See also: Oregon's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 [5], In August 2021, the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) announced that the Shire of Boddington would be transferred to the seat of O'Connor, while the Gosnells suburbs of Kenwick, Maddington, Orange Grove and part of Martin would be transferred to Burt. On this screen you will find First Preferences and Two Candidate Preferred, Updated: Friday, 09 October 2015 01:14:15 PM, the number of votes and the percentage of the formal vote received by each candidate, the swing as measured as the difference between the percentage of first preference votes received by a party candidate at this election and the percentage of the first preference votes received by that party's candidate in the comparable polling places at the previous election. Hhahahahaha!!!!. Hastie will be PM by 2028 . And if there is any anti-politician sentiment its less likely to be taken out on Labor. As a single mother, she also said she had balanced work and parenthood like so many other Western Australians. PVO either misspoke or has started making stupid predictions again. Assessment Canning is a safe Liberal seat. What happened to the climate change vote? Office details Connect Electorate details Electorate Office (Principal Office) Unit 2 61 Sutton Street Mandurah, WA, 6210 Postal address PO Box 968 Mandurah, WA, 6210 Telephone: (08) 9534 8044 Parliament Office PO Box 6022 House of Representatives Parliament House Canberra ACT 2600 Telephone: (02) 6277 4223 Speeches First speech Recent speech Abbott's opponents didn't wait for the by-election, the coup that installed Malcolm Turnbull as Prime Minister coming in the week before the by-election. She has worked as a civil litigation lawyer in Mandurah for over a decade. Since 1980 it has been located in the southern suburbs of the two largest cities in Western Australia, Perth and Mandurah. A primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. A teacher who was the Family First candidate for the seat of Fremantle in 2013 and Hasluck in 2010. He said he was committed to supporting bigger causes, and believed there was none bigger than human rights. Since 1933, every open election for Los Angeles mayor has advanced to a general election. An environmental scientist who is also a mature-age arts/law student at Murdoch University. For the latest information, searchABC Emergency, For the latestweather warnings in the Northern Territory, search onABC Emergency. Hopefully he will be toppled since hes essentially another Dutton and is likely the hard rights replacement for Dutton after Dutton loses or retires. Canning covers the entirety of the Mandurah, Murray, Serpentine-Jarrahdale and Waroona council areas, as well as parts of the Armadale, Gosnells and Kalamunda council areas. It cant draw on a broader narrative that includes the economy and voters hip-pockets. Ive dedicated my career to making life better for Western Australian families, and want to continue that work in the Federal Parliament, she said. A software development manager for a Perth-based company. Redistributions of electoral boundaries are taken into account and may produce notional results for any electoral division in a redistributed state or territory. A: Were seeing a lot of headlines about polls showing it at 50-50, but if you look at them carefully, theyre more favourable for the Liberals than that. Ive delivered funding for infrastructure and essential services our fast-growing region needs, like the Lakelands Train Station, he said. In mid-2015 Randall died suddenly, producing a by-election that was expected to be a test for Tony Abbott's continuing hold on the Prime Ministership. Canning was held for Labor by George Gear from 1984 until 1996 when it fell to Liberal Ms Ricky Johnston at her fifth attempt to win the seat. A: The Perth to Mandurah rail line was a great public policy success that everybody associates with the last state Labor government. The unresolved question for me is: is there any limit on how tough Abbott can be on national security without it backfiring?. Randall was easily re-elected in 2004 after Labor twice changed its candidate, producing a 9.2% swing to Randall, the largest swing to the Liberal Party in the country. Sadie Canning was Western Australias, and possibly Australias, first Indigenous Australian nurse and matron who made a significant contribution to Australian health and Indigenous outcomes; and. She said this election The Greens had the chance to hold balance of power and ensure that there was a future for all of us. He said he was tired of living under a bureaucratic dictatorship and in speaking with family, friends and people in the community he believed many Australians felt the same. The Liberal two-party votes ranged from 46.3% at the Riverside Primary School in the Mandurah suburbs of Greenfields, to 75.2% at rural Coolup Community Hall in the far south of the electorate. . Or the oily seductive lasciviousness of Tricky Dicky, or pork Bariilaro !!. He said his approach takes a long-term view for the district to prepare students for all facets of post-high school life, including college, trades, military service or entering the workforce. As a kayak enthusiast, he has paddled the Black River, Sandusky Bay and along much of the Lake Erie shoreline in between them. Could have an impact especially if Hastie gets somehow involved in it due to his SAS history. Additionally, a protest vote is expected as voters mark their dissatisfaction with the Abbott government. A list of profiles for Electorates A-Z in the Federal Election 2022. In 2019, he won the seat by 21,002 votes. I am proud to be standing with a political party that supports marriage equality. Having worked for mineral exploration companies, and following postgraduate studies, Gardiner moved to the eastern states and completed a Master of Natural Resources. I will continue to be a good community partner working with the PTA and booster groups along with city leaders in Avon to ensure we have a strong relationship. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. 2024 Election Congress PM Candidate Kamal Nath . You have to remember that back in 2010, Don Randall was MP here, and he would have been the reason MacTiernan lost. My feeling is that the Abbott government has narrowed itself to very few lines of attack national security and union corruption and it has overreached on both of them. Ben Roberts-Smith case of any impact do you think? Make sure all voices are respectfully heard. No information on Ashely Elphin Williams was available. Why do we want a former SAS tough guy? The former Uniting WA chief is the underdog in the race against Mr Hastie after he retained the seat for the Liberals at a by-election in 2015. Gerick was defeated narrowly by Liberal candidate Don Randallin 2001. There are an awful lot of factors at play here, which makes it really messy to analyse. Election | I was born and raised in Canning, I know the people and the issues. WA is largely a mystery to me. Canning covers urban fringe and rural areas to the south of Perth, including Mandurah and most of the Peel region. As I said, it is blue-collar, it doesnt have a large fly-in fly-out workforce as there arent a lot of people working in the mining industry there. . I absolutely support marriage equality. Hastie was appointed Assistant Minister for Defence in December 2020. Sadie Canning was Western Australia's, and . Avon Schools are top performers academically but at the bottom for dollars spent per pupil, Weigman said. Other than wanting action on climate change Ms Moffat said she was passionate about more GST funding coming back into WA, getting dental and mental health care listed on Medicare, providing more support for affordable housing and aged care. He said Australia has become a country he barely recognises due to lockdowns and mandates and he wanted to end the tyranny of the two-party system. Rudd then took it off the agenda and proposed a mining tax which did huge damage to his popularity in the polls. Candidate profile: John Weigman for Avon School Board, November 2021 The Liberals are at such a high watermark after the last federal election, and theyve also been in power at the state level for a long time. I will continue to understand the need to offer students a variety of educational opportunities so that they can explore more subject and educational content so as they have to start to choose a career path, they have had a variety of experiences to help with the decision-making process, she said.
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